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2024-12-14 12:32:24

Today's A-shares fluctuated within a narrow range, and the main force took measures to stabilize the market and ease the anxiety caused by yesterday's high opening and low going. Even Hong Kong stocks, one of the three sisters, were too busy to take care of, and the market closed again, which drama will A-shares sing tomorrow? Let me talk about a few personal views.Today, the trend of A-shares stands out as a stable word, and individual stocks generally rise, which may be the best situation. However, the A-share market can't always go up without going down. Today, the Hang Seng Index dives frequently, while the Hong Kong stocks at the end of the market continue to dive, while A-shares and A50 futures index rise in the opposite direction, with serious differentiation, indicating that the pressure on all parties is still relatively large.It may also be that the forecast is too early. For today's trend, I ignored the will of the main capital to attract more. If we make a quick correction today, the A-share market may be difficult to do at the end of the year. Therefore, the main capital repeated the trend of double 11 today, and we cannot ignore the determination of the main capital to attract more shipments.


Second, judging from the technical analysis, the short-term A-share market has peaked, that is to say, 3494 points yesterday was the recent high point.Tomorrow's market is a slight downward trend, because it is difficult for the current main force to make a tombstone and attract more. We will adjust the position tomorrow to 3400 points, which is in line with what I have always said. In a market that attracts more, the main force will take some support positions seriously, constantly oscillating and tempting.First, the three sisters of A shares are divided today, which is worrying.


This chart reflects the three high positions of A-shares since they peaked on October 8th, November 8th and December 10th. Combined with the volume pile shown in Figure 1, it is clear at a glance that the real big market is that the volume pile is bigger than one, but now it is smaller than one, which fully shows that the market after October 8th is a trend of creating long traps and attracting more, and now it has been twice.Figure iiPersonally, I judge that after adjustment, the main funds will still be a bull trap at the end of the year, and this rebound high point will probably appear on December 30 and 31. This is because the main funds will use holidays, cooperate through the disk, and some of them will be higher, mainly foreign capital, increase publicity and give off-site funds a tour, which is in line with my judgment. In the past two years, the main A-share companies have always borrowed weekends, holidays and other closed days. Look at the picture below:

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